(3) And, speaking of often-repeated things (e.g., today) that aren’t actually true, here’s Auerbach & Gelman on the claimed increase in white mortality.
(4) “Many pollsters and strategists believe that rural white voters, particularly those without college degrees, eluded the party’s polling altogether — and their absence from poll results may have been both a cause and a symptom of Donald Trump’s upset victory over Hillary Clinton in several states.”
(5) “High-level professionals and managers respond to rising unemployment by withdrawing support for raising tax progressivity. By contrast, manual workers (along with low-level professionals and managers) respond to rising unemployment by increasing their support for tax progressivity.”
(6) “[I]deologically populist Americans … have historically held issue preferences that matched the policy positions expressed by Donald Trump in the 2016 primaries. … [T]he Trump candidacy was able to activate a segment of the electorate that has historically not been part of the GOP electoral coalition.” (Or, as I’ve said: “there were a lot of downscale whites who weren’t voting because they didn’t have candidates plausibly offering what they generally wanted—white nationalist priorities combined with left-leaning economic positions. … He built it and they came.”)